2024 Emmys Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie

We are going to replace this text all through the season, together with all our predictions, so be certain to maintain checking IndieWire for the newest information from the 2024 Emmys race. The nomination spherical of voting takes place from June 13 to June 24, with the official Emmy nominations introduced Wednesday, July 17. Afterwards, remaining voting commences on August 15 and ends the evening of August 26. The 76th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards are set to happen on Sunday, September 15, and air reside on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

Click on on for extra of our earlier ideas on what to anticipate on the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards.

With the restricted sequence races particularly, nothing is ready in stone. For practically a 12 months it appeared like “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” star Evan Peters was a shoo-in for Excellent Lead Actor in a Restricted Collection or a Film, given the challenge’s reputation, however “Beef” star Steven Yeun then entered the race in April, eclipsing the man Netflix actor.

“Ripley” and “Child Reindeer” didn’t premiere as far other than one another, but it surely does look like one other case the place two Netflix sequence are splitting up the restricted sequence classes they’re favored for. The foremost distinction this 12 months is that Richard Gadd, nominated for the latter present, additionally nominated for writing “Child Reindeer.” When competitors is that this tight, voters will give the nominated creator/star the Writing Emmy to acknowledge the work they did whereas leaving room to offer an Emmy to an actor who wasn’t as carefully concerned behind the scenes of the present they had been on. An excellent instance of that is when Michaela Coel received for writing “I Might Destroy You” in 2021, whereas “Mare of Easttown” star Kate Winslet received the Lead Actress Emmy. That might be analogous to Gadd profitable for writing, and Andrew Scott profitable the Emmy for starring in “Ripley.”

A powerful promoting level for Scott is that not like certainly one of his fundamental rivals, “Fargo” Season 5 lead Jon Hamm, who did win an Emmy for his star-making function on “Mad Males,” the Irish actor didn’t win an Emmy for his breakout flip in “Fleabag.” Profitable for his tackle Patricia Highsmith’s iconic literary character can be Scott’s first time receiving an Emmy.

When nominations had been introduced, it was identified that almost all of the performances acknowledged are queer roles performed by actors which can be a part of the LGBTQ neighborhood. This angle on the race performs nicely into Matt Bomer’s Emmys marketing campaign, as he was a key half in getting Showtime’s homosexual historic romance “Fellow Vacationers” made, and offers probably the most expansive efficiency. In the meantime Tom Hollander does a wonderful job as Truman Capote on “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans,” however would probably not speak as a lot about figuring out with the character. It has additionally been stated that his FX sequence loses steam within the again half.

Nominees are listed so as of their probability to win.

Energy Rankings:

1. Andrew Scott, “Ripley” (Netflix)
2. Jon Hamm, “Fargo” (FX)
3. Matt Bomer, “Fellow Vacationers” (Showtime)
4. Tom Hollander, “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)
5. Richard Gadd, “Child Reindeer” (Netflix)

Will Win: Andrew Scott, “Ripley”
May Win: Matt Bomer, “Fellow Vacationers”
Ought to Win: Andrew Scott, “Ripley”

Extra Restricted Collection and TV Film Class Predictions:
Excellent Restricted or Anthology Collection
Excellent TV Film
Excellent Lead Actress in a Restricted Collection or a Film
Excellent Supporting Actor in a Restricted Collection or a Film
Excellent Supporting Actress in a Restricted Collection or a Film

View IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 76th Emmy Awards.

Final 12 months’s Winner: Steven Yeun, “Beef”
Nonetheless Eligible: No.
Scorching Streak: Ever since Netflix’s first win within the class 5 years in the past, with Jharrel Jerome for “When They See Us,” the streaming service has had certainly one of its stars win each different 12 months. Ought to a Netflix star like Andrew Scott (“Ripley”) or Richard Gadd (“Child Reindeer”) win, it could be the primary time Netflix would start construct a streak within the class.
Notable Ineligible Collection: André Holland, “The Huge Cigar” (the season is not going to air in time to be eligible); Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Harmless” (the season is not going to air in time to be eligible); Daniel Brühl, “Changing into Karl Lagerfeld” (the season is not going to air in time to be eligible); Laurence Fishburne, “Clipped” (the season is not going to air in time to be eligible); Nicholas Galitzine, “The Concept of You” (the movie was not submitted for Emmys consideration); Jake Gyllenhaal, “Highway Home” (the movie was not submitted for Emmys consideration)