Nominations voting is from January 8-12, 2025, with official Oscar nominations introduced January 17, 2025. Remaining voting is February 11-18, 2025. And eventually, the 97th Oscars telecast will likely be broadcast on Sunday, March 2 and air dwell on ABC at 7:00 p.m. ET/ 4:00 p.m. PT. We replace our picks via awards season, so hold checking IndieWire for all our 2025 Oscar predictions.
Predicting the Greatest Supporting Actor nominees could be particularly onerous as a result of when there’s a celebrated ensemble movie, that ensemble is usually comprised primarily of males. So popping out of a 12 months the place the Greatest Image race is extra of a fair taking part in discipline there may be not one movie particularly that anybody can firmly say will get a bunch of their actors nominated into this class. It might nonetheless go any variety of methods.
All that mentioned, it’s in all probability extra enjoyable to function off the concept that voters will unfold the wealth. “Anora” having received the Palme d’Or at Cannes, and been a runner-up for the Individuals’s Alternative Award at TIFF, has made the Sean Baker movie a frontrunner throughout a number of races. For anybody who has seen the trailer, it definitely seems like Mark Eydelshteyn because the beau of the titular character would the most definitely Greatest Supporting Actor, however the individuals who have really seen the movie are a bit extra enamored with co-star Yura Borisov, who some voters might know from “Compartment No. 6,” a Finnish drama that made the Greatest Worldwide Characteristic shortlist in 2021. One of many highlights of “Anora” that always will get talked about is the movie’s ending, which extra so includes Borisov, so he appears to be the prime option to symbolize the movie on this class.
One other massive fall pageant movie was “Conclave,” from “All Quiet on the Western Entrance” director Edward Berger. The papal election drama is stuffed to the brim with good supporting performances, however the two that standout most as nice foils for doubtless Greatest Actor nominee Ralph Fiennes are Stanley Tucci, who has been nominated as soon as earlier than, and newcomer Carlos Diehz. Others like John Lithgow, Sergio Castellitto, and Lucian Msamati have their moments, however fall towards the background by the climax.
For different movies that aren’t as excessive up on the record of predicted Greatest Image nominees, there turns into a problem of vote splitting. “The Piano Lesson” stars Samuel L. Jackson, Ray Fisher, and Corey Hawkins are all prime tier actors to the purpose the place individuals who see the movie might every have a unique favourite efficiency of the trio. It ought to be famous although that Jackson particularly has not been nominated for an Oscar since “Pulp Fiction,” so there’s a narrative already that the August Wilson adaptation could lead on him to an overdue return to the Academy Awards.
Equally, “Challengers” stars Josh O’Connor and Mike Faist seem to be a bundle deal: both they get nominated for awards collectively, or they don’t get nominated in any respect. Even with public favor leaning O’Connor’s approach, it doesn’t but seem to be voters have proven a transparent desire for which actor gave probably the most awards worthy efficiency. For movies like “Sing Sing” and “The Brutalist,” which additionally function a number of vital supporting performances each newcomer Clarence Maclin and never-nominated Man Pearce aren’t solely the highest selections to symbolize their respective movies, however to win the award (until Kieran Culkin finds a second wind for Sundance favourite “A Actual Ache”).
Contenders are listed in alphabetical order, under. No actor will likely be deemed a frontrunner till I’ve seen the movie.
Frontrunners:
Yura Borisov (“Anora”)
Kieran Culkin (“A Actual Ache”)
Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”)
Man Pearce (“The Brutalist”)
Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”)
Contenders:
Joe Alwyn (“The Brutalist”)
Carlos Diehz (“Conclave”)
Mark Eydelshteyn (“Anora”)
Mike Faist (“Challengers”)
Ray Fisher (“The Piano Lesson”)
Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”)
John Magaro (“September 5”)
Josh O’Connor (“Challengers”)
Jeremy Sturdy (“The Apprentice”)
Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”)
Lengthy Pictures:
Austin Butler (“Dune Half II”)
Harris Dickinson (“Babygirl”)
Corey Hawkins (“The Piano Lesson”)
Brian Tyree Henry (“The Fireplace Inside”)
John Earl Jelks (“Exhibiting Forgiveness”)
Karren Karagulian (“Anora”)
Pedro Pascal (“Gladiator II”)
Adam Pearson (“A Totally different Man”)
Jesse Plemons (“Civil Conflict”)
Drew Starkey (“Queer”)
